For many, especially those hundreds of thousands of us who marched against the
Iraq war in 2003, the question recurs: can we do anything about this impending
disaster?
http://www.
UK: National Demonstration: No Attack on Syria
By Stop the War
National Demonstration: assemble Saturday 31 August, 12 noon, Temple Place, London.
http://is.gd/K7JDhj [http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?e=
TAP - the vote in the Commons is not enough. The US is still rolling out its huge military strength and war is going ahead. All that's been achieved so far is a delay of a few days.
Cameron's arrogance and dilemma
For over 18 months 
Cameron and William Hague have tried to play the hard men over Syria, calling 
for greater action at international gatherings and threatening Damascus with 
other people's F-16s. Now, the old Etonian's arrogance has made Britain a weak 
link in the shaky FUKUS chain.
At the start of this 
week Cameron was strutting the airwaves pressing for immediate bombing. By 
Thursday he had been forced into a tactical retreat - though the intention to 
press ahead is clear. Washington too rowed back a little to give Cameron, facing 
potential parliamentary defeat, a lifeline.
Officials mooted that 
the date for bombing could be pushed back to the middle of next week. If anyone 
thinks they are in control of events, consider that on that timescale US and 
British planes will be bombing a Russian ally just as Obama and Cameron sit down 
in St Petersburg at the G20 summit, hosted by Putin.
The call for restraint 
by the UN's Ban Ki-moon hardened Labour's opposition to the government. On 
Wednesday it went from reluctant support for the government to tabling its own 
amendment in the parliamentary debate on Thursday. That amendment placed 
significant obstacles in the path to military action. But it said only that the 
UN Security Council must be allowed to consider and vote on the weapons 
inspectors' report, not that a Security Council authorisation was necessary 
before Labour would support action.
Nevertheless, Labour MPs 
and others report that they are swayed by both the deep divisions in the 
political class and state structures over action and by the mounting public 
opposition. Diane Abbott's political stock soared sharply when she said she 
would resign from the Labour frontbench if the party rushed into 
war.
The emergency 
demonstration called by Stop the War in London on Wednesday drew 1,000 people, 
extremely significant at short notice and in the bank holiday week.
It seems impossible now 
for the government to avoid a second parliamentary vote before bombing, and its 
own motion on Thursday in effect conceded that.
These are not trivial 
parliamentary games. They are the actual working out of the impasse of the 
government's position. They mean that MPs who were expecting to be sunning 
themselves this weekend will now be in Britain subject to intense, contradictory 
pressures.
They mean that what was 
meant to be a lightening strike on Syria this week is now prolonged even before 
it begins. A question that was of concern for only a minority in Britain is now 
at the centre of national politics and life - should we support Cameron, should 
we bomb or not bomb, can we do anything about it.
A major public debate 
has erupted way beyond the circles and social media that we as activists use to 
talk with one another. The debate is open. Our opponents are an out of touch 
government that is inflicting deep social suffering on millions of people, most 
of whom declare that they are alienated from the official political 
parties.
The government is a 
coalition. Its majority depends on Lib Dem MPs, many of whom owe their seats to 
the anti-war posture the party took in 2003. They are particularly vulnerable to 
pressure, which in this instance means public opinion marshalled and 
concentrated into action and political engagement.
There are serious 
divisions in the Tory ranks too - usually reflective of foreign policy and 
military establishment concerns. Nevertheless, a move by anti-war MP Jeremy 
Corbyn and others of the left earlier this year to force the government to 
declare that it would seek parliamentary approval for any strike on Syria 
succeeded in winning support from Tory rebels.
A principled mass 
movement acting intelligently can drive a wedge deeper into the Tory ranks as 
well as stiffen the position of Labour MPs.
Mass movement - unity of purpose
Action now can make a 
difference. It requires taking the clear anti-war arguments which Stop the War 
is promoting and which are voiced by many others, including the Daily Mirror, 
deep into British society. All movements need activists, but we cannot simply be 
a movement of activists. We have to aim to be a mass movement of people who can 
be stirred by this question.
The fact that figures 
such as Peter Hain MP who supported the Iraq war are now strongly against 
bombing Syria is an indication that our anti-war argument can reach into new and 
broad layers. That feeling needs to be focused through public protest and 
through inundating MPs in order to tip the balance. There are many forms of 
action. Over the coming days the job is to hone them to a single point that will 
be felt in parliament and the government as they mull how to 
proceed.
There is every chance 
that we can play a big role in shifting the debate. What if we do not and they 
manage to press ahead anyway? Well, our efforts will have been far from 
futile.
First, whatever the 
blithe talk of a limited three day bombing with no fallout, the truth is that 
there will be major repercussions throughout the Middle East if they do go 
ahead. The only question is how great they will be. They will certainly mark a 
new phase in which the pressure for further action will intensify and with it 
the necessity of a strong, united movement of opposition, as well as solidarity 
with genuine progressive forces in the region.
Second, this is not 
about something happening far away to other people. It is about the direction of 
politics and society in Britain. The outcome of the next days and weeks will 
impact on the scale of opposition to the Coalition's assaults on the mass of 
people at home.
A government weakened by 
defeat of its foreign policy, or even by its curtailment, is going to find it 
harder to deal with the protests in defence of the NHS, the strikes by public 
sector workers and the developing social resistance to its austerity 
policies.
Many of us have 
supported Stop the War or taken part in its mobilisations over the years. Quite 
naturally there has been ebb and flow, reflecting events and the possibility at 
any one time of achieving results. We've also had many healthy debates as the 
disaster of Western policy in the Middle East and the War on Terror has 
unfolded.
Now is a time to throw 
ourselves fully into this upswing of the movement - inundating MPs, taking to 
the streets on Saturday, getting ourselves into the media - mainstream, new and 
social - everywhere persuading friends, colleagues and family that we need to 
take a stand, and that by doing so we can make a difference.
Kevin Ovenden, 29 August 
2013
